NCAA Division I FBS (the old Division I-A)The 2009/2010 NCAA Division I FBS bowl season started off with surprises and we would not be surprised if this continues throughout the remaining bowl games.
The BCS looks bad.
Fresno State and
Wyoming opened the bowl season in style in the New Mexico Bowl, as underdog Wyoming won in two overtimes
35-28. The surprise in the game was that the Cowboys put up more total offense than the Bulldogs and thus deserved to win. We
predicted a Fresno State win but beat the line. Is it significant for future bowl games and rankings that the #5 in the Mountain West Conference beat the #3 in the Western Athletic Conference?
Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is 0-1 in predicting the winner and 1-0 against the spread.Rutgers beat
UCF convincingly
45-24 in the St. Petersburg Bowl, as the Scarlet Knights outgained the Knights of Central Florida 380 yards to 255. The stronger Rutgers defense was the difference in the ball game. We had
predicted a narrow UCF win.
Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is 0-2 in predicting the winner and 1-1 against the spread.Middle Tennesse State vanquished
Southern Mississippi 42-32 on the strength of a great performance by the Blue Raiders passing and running quarterback Dwight Dasher, who passed for 162 yards and ran for 201 yards against the Golden Eagles of Southern Miss. As written by
Mary Foster at Yahoo Rivals.com, The 201 yards eclipsed the old record of 200 yards set by Vince Young of Texas against USC in the 2006 Rose Bowl.
We predicted a Blue Raider win.
Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 1-2 in predicting the winner and 2-1 against the spread.BYU confirmed the strength of the Mountain West Conference and threw more logs into the fire burning under BCS by beating Pac 10
Oregon State 44-20 in the Las Vegas Bowl. As if Utah's win over Alabama last bowl season was not worth pondering, the BCS match-ups this year are a scandal of the first rank, matching the unbeaten "outsider" teams TCU and Boise State with each other rather than having them each play, and, embarassingly for the BCS, perhaps beat BCS Big 6 teams. In our book, the current BCS arrangement violates the principle tenets of the U.S. anti-trust laws and should be disbanded as a tragic anachronism ushered in by clueless university presidents viz. chancellors and similarly deluded non-athletic academics. We
predicted a Brigham Young victory.
Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 2-2 in predicting the winner and 3-1 against the spread.Utah won its ninth straight bowl by beating
Cal 37-27 in the Poinsettia Bowl. There is a reason Utah keeps winning these games, including last year's blowout of Alabama, but that reason has not yet filtered into the anachronistic ranks of those who make the national football polls or run the BCS. Utah was the better team and also won almost every statistical category against the Bears. The Mountain West Conference is now 3-0 in bowl games, having knocked off two Pac 10 teams of a conference
unjustifiably ranked way above it by BCS and other pollsters. That faulty conference ranking greatly affects the alleged schedule difficulty of each team and greatly skews the team rankings - as we have shown at
YPPSYS II. Would Alabama beat TCU or Boise State? Maybe yes and maybe no, but we will never know, thanks to BCS. We
predicted a Ute victory.
Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 3-2 in predicting the winner and 4-1 against the spread.
SMU thoroughly thrashed
Nevada 45-10 in the Hawaii Bowl as the string of upsets in college bowl games continued, and a Mustang team that lost 30-27 to lowly Washington State early in the season now came of age. Nevada lacked two of its 1000-yard rushers due to academic ineligibility and an injury (Vai Taua and Luke Lippincott) but it was Nevada's weak defense which proved to be the difference, as the Mustangs put up 534 yards offense against the Wolf Pack, 460 of those in the air against the nation's second worst pass defense. You can't be successful in modern college football without a decent pass defense. We did
predict a Wolf Pack win (who didn't ?) and lost that one, but we did beat the spread.
Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 3-3 in predicting the winner and 5-1 against the spread.
(keep checking at LawPundit as scores come in - we will update this post and put it at the top of the posting list whenever we make a change)
NAIAWe
predicted a win by Sioux Falls - who
plan to move to NCAA Division II in 2011 - but it was much closer than expected as the Cougars defended their NAIA Football Championship against the Lindenwood Lions
25-22 in the Russell Athletic 54th annual NAIA National Championship game. The win was the 29th in the row for Sioux Falls, who thereby supplanted NCAA Division III Mount Union as the current holder of the longest winning streak in college football. Mount Union's 29-game winning streak was snapped in this year's Division 3 championship game.
NCAA Division IIIWe
predicted a win by Mount Union by 3 points, but they lost in the championship game, where the NCAA Division III football championship playoffs otherwise went pretty much as anticipated. The two teams that nearly everyone predicted to be in the finals (the
2009 Stagg Bowl) played each other again for the
5th year in succession in a series still led by Mount Union 3-2. This year, the
Wisconsin-Whitewater Warhawks won
38-28 in a fairly even game statistically as the opposing
Mount Union Purple Raiders played a poor first half, trailing 28-14 at halftime. Mount Union rebounded to tie the game 28-28 in the second half, but then committed three costly fumble turnovers in the 4th quarter, cutting off their own scoring opportunities and handing the game to the Warhawks. The loss marked the end of Mount Union's nation-leading 29-game win streak. Mount Union has to learn to hold on to the ball in inclement weather, as they lost similarly in 2007 due their inability to hold on to the football when the weather was bad.
NCAA Division IIWe
predicted a win by Northwest Missouri State by 5 points. After four straight years of being in the NCAA Division II football championship game - and losing - the Bearcats finally broke the jinx in their 5th attempt and beat the Grand Valley State Lakers
30-23 for the championship. Although Grand Valley held the football for 37:27 minutes as opposed to only 22:33 minutes for Northwest Missouri,
the Bearcats gained 6.5 yards per play as opposed to the Lakers 4.9 yards per play, thus virtually balancing the teams' total offenses in a game that was fairly equal statistically.
NCAA Division I FCS (the old Division I-AA)We
predicted a Villanova win over Montana by 4 points, and the Wildcats beat the previously undefeated Grizzlies
23-21, who lost in the championship game for the second straight year and for the third time in the last six years. Maybe 2010 will be charm, in a year when the playoffs will be expanded to 20 teams and the championship game will be pushed into January. Take a look at some fine game photos by David Swanson at
Philly.com Sports.